empty
02.02.2023 11:59 PM
The implications of the Fed press conference for the markets

This image is no longer relevant

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said policymakers expect a couple more interest rate hikes before suspending their aggressive tightening campaign, even as they slowed their efforts to rein in inflation.

Policymakers lifted the Fed's target for its benchmark rate by a quarter percentage point to a range of 4.5% to 4.75%. The smaller move followed a half-point increase in December and four giant hikes of 75 basis points before that.

Nevertheless, investors were receptive to the chair acknowledging that price pressures had begun to ease, even as he emphasized the Fed's outlook for further rate hikes. The S&P 500 closed more than 1% higher after his speech, and two-year yields fell sharply.

This image is no longer relevant

"We have covered a lot of ground," Powell told reporters after the meeting. "Even so, we have more work to do."

The Federal Open Market Committee's vote was unanimous.

"The Committee anticipates that ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate in order to attain a stance of monetary policy that is sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2 percent over time." the Fed said in a statement issued after the two-day decision.

In a sign that the end of the rate hike cycle may be near, the Committee said that the "extent of future increases" would depend on a number of factors, including cumulative tightening of monetary policy. It had previously linked the "pace" of future hikes to these factors.

Gold rose 3000p during the session:

This image is no longer relevant

Powell added during his press conference:

"We've raised rates four and a half percentage points, and we're talking about a couple of more rate hikes to get to that level we think is appropriately restrictive," he said.

In another departure from its last statement, the Fed noted that inflation has "eased somewhat but remains elevated," indicating that policymakers are becoming more confident that price pressures have peaked.

That compares with previous language when officials simply said price increases were "elevated."

"The heavy lifting is done, but it doesn't mean the job is finished," said Derek Tang, an economist at LH Meyer in Washington. "He'll err on the side of hiking a bit more and staying there a bit longer. He stuck to his risk management story of not wanting to test if they can get away with doing fewer hikes."

EURUSD added 1,500p in the session, rewriting the top of the month:

This image is no longer relevant

The Fed did not release new forecasts on Wednesday, but Powell referred to those forecasts as a benchmark for how much higher officials expect rates to rise.

Initially dismissing price increases as temporary, Fed policymakers have struggled to get rampant inflation under control before it takes root in the economy, raising rates sharply from near-zero levels as recently as a year ago.

They are also shrinking the Fed's balance sheet at a record pace, taking hundreds of billions of dollars out of the financial system.

"It is gratifying to see the disinflationary process underway, with continued strong labor market," Powell said. Still, the chairman said officials will need "much more evidence" that inflation is on a steady downward trajectory.

Powell focused on the labor market as a source of potential inflationary pressure, arguing that "demand for workers far exceeds the supply of available workers, and nominal wages have been growing at a pace well above what would be consistent with 2 percent inflation over time."

Andrey Shevchenko,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

USD/CAD. Analysis and Forecast

The USD/CAD pair has been attracting buyers for the fifth consecutive day amid contrasting forecasts from the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve. The pair continues its upward movement

Irina Yanina 18:00 2025-09-26 UTC+2

GBP/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Today, Friday, during the European session, the GBP/JPY cross is attempting to recover from yesterday's losses, rising above the psychological level of 200.00 amid conflicting market forces. A decline

Irina Yanina 10:54 2025-09-26 UTC+2

An Increase in the PCE Index in Line With Forecasts Could Support US Stocks and Weaken the Dollar (There is a chance for renewed declines in #USDX and GBP/USD)

The first significant sign that US inflation continues to rise proved to be a cold shower for market participants, causing a sharp rise in the dollar and a decline

Pati Gani 10:23 2025-09-26 UTC+2

Trump Targets Pharmaceuticals

Yesterday, the U.S. stock market experienced a major sell-off, and the American dollar strengthened after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a new package of tariffs on pharmaceutical products, heavy trucks

Jakub Novak 09:59 2025-09-26 UTC+2

U.S. Economy Growing at Fastest Pace in Nearly Two Years

Yesterday's U.S. GDP report triggered a surge in demand for the U.S. dollar and a sell-off in risk assets — and it comes as no surprise. According to the data

Jakub Novak 09:34 2025-09-26 UTC+2

The Market Doesn't Want to Step on the Same Rake Again

For a long time, markets have operated in a tug-of-war mode: signs of US economic weakness have pulled the S&P 500 down, but expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts

Marek Petkovich 09:02 2025-09-26 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on September 26? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

There are only a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Friday, but some of them may trigger a market reaction. First and foremost, attention should be paid to the Core Personal

Paolo Greco 06:58 2025-09-26 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview. September 26. Is It Time for Donald Trump to Introduce New Tariffs?

The GBP/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Thursday, which is already starting to look at least somewhat unusual. Let's remember: explaining any move after the fact is easy

Paolo Greco 04:28 2025-09-26 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview. September 26. The Dollar Continues to Stumble After Powell's Speech

The EUR/USD currency pair traded relatively calmly on Thursday, but had managed to consolidate below the moving average line the day before. In fact, everyone is now used

Paolo Greco 04:28 2025-09-26 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Price Analysis. Forecast. US Dollar Trending, Yen Lagging

On Thursday, the Japanese yen was losing ground against the US dollar, with the USD/JPY pair reaching its highest level in seven weeks. At the time of writing, trading

Irina Yanina 00:21 2025-09-26 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.