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17.10.2019 01:20 AM
EUR/USD is growing on rumors about Germany's readiness to launch a program of fiscal stimulus measures. The dollar is recovering from weekly lows. It may be possible to test the monthly high again at 1.1060. Now the pair is convincingly demonstrating growth potential after Bloomberg news agency announced that German officials are considering launching a program that includes some fiscal stimulus measures in case of further deterioration in economic prospects. However, while the upward movement is difficult, because the bulls were unable to move further from the monthly peaks in the region of 1.1060-65. In addition, a little optimistic sentiment added fading optimism about a breakthrough in the Brexit negotiations, this news did not go unnoticed and helped to bounce off weekly lows. Taking into account other external factors, the final values of the consumer price index for September are unlikely to affect investor sentiment. Instead, all attention will be paid to the publication of the September data on retail sales and business investments.
What to expect from the euro? The upside currently remains valid, although limited to 1.1060 amid frequently changing sentiment regarding risk and stable dollar performance. Looking at the wider picture, the inexorable slowdown in the region's economy only justifies the ECB's dovish position in monetary policy and a bearish look at the single currency in the long run. Brexit, on the other hand, will continue to influence the pair's behavior, and sporadic rumors of Germany's fiscal stimulus will also increase market volatility.
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